2026 Orange County Real Estate Forecast

Orange County’s housing market is kicking off 2026 with a serious glow-up.

While the rest of the country is seeing a modest shift, the local scene remains a playground for luxury real estate enthusiasts and savvy investors alike. From the sun-drenched shores of Newport Beach to the artistic hills of Laguna Beach, the vibes are high, and the opportunities are even higher.

The Coastal Vibe: Newport Beach, Laguna Beach + Beyond

In 2026, the demand for high-end properties in Newport Coast and Corona del Mar has never been more curated. These zip codes aren’t just places to live; they are global trophy destinations. We are seeing a major trend toward wellness sanctuaries—homes designed with biophilic elements that bring the outdoors in.

Further south, Dana Point and San Clemente are stealing the spotlight. With the recent harbor revitalizations, these areas have become magnets for national relocators looking for that perfect California cool luxury estate. If you’ve been eyeing a coastal retreat, these neighborhoods offer a sophisticated yet laid-back energy that is hard to beat.

The Pulse of the Market: Rates + Inventory

What’s the word on the street regarding numbers? Orange County real estate is showing incredible resilience as mortgage rates stabilize around the 6% mark. This new normal has unlocked the gates for local move-up buyers and international investors who were waiting on the sidelines throughout last year.

Inventory is growing slightly, but don’t let that fool you—luxury real estate in cities like Irvine and Costa Mesa still moves fast. Buyers are looking for turnkey perfection, and sellers who nail their staging and digital presence are seeing multiple-offer scenarios.

Who’s Moving to the OC in 2026?

The 2026 buyer persona has evolved. We’re seeing a diverse mix of lifestyles:

  • The Tech Elite: Moving into master-planned perfection and innovation hubs in Irvine.
  • Global Jetsetters: Snapping up luxury estates in Newport Beach as part of a diversified international portfolio.
  • National Dreamers: Migrating from the East Coast to find the quiet luxury lifestyle that only the OC can provide.

Strategy for the Win

Whether you are buying your first beachfront condo or selling a legacy estate, 2026 is all about precision. For sellers, it means leveraging AI-driven marketing and high-production video. For buyers, it means having an agent who can find the off-market gems before they hit the MLS.

Ready to make your move in the nation’s most coveted market? Connect with the experts who live and breathe this lifestyle. Contact your local Surterre real estate specialists today at SurterreProperties.com and let’s turn your 2026 vision into your new reality. You can also explore our exclusive listings now!

Source: OCRealEstateInc.com

2026 Orange County Real Estate: Expert Insights & FAQs

1. Is 2026 a good year to buy luxury real estate in Orange County?
Yes. With mortgage rates stabilizing near 6% and inventory recovering by nearly 9% nationally, 2026 offers a more balanced environment than previous years. In high-demand areas like Newport Beach and Irvine, buyers have more leverage to negotiate on properties that have been listed for over 90 days.
2. What are the top luxury real estate trends in Orange County for 2026?
The defining trend of 2026 is “Wellness Sanctuaries.” Discerning buyers are prioritizing biophilic design, smart-home air filtration, and dedicated recovery suites. In Newport Coast and Laguna Beach, homes that seamlessly blend indoor-outdoor living are commanding the highest price-per-square-foot.
3. Which Orange County neighborhoods have the highest appreciation potential?
Dana Point and San Clemente are seeing significant appreciation due to ongoing harbor revitalizations and luxury developments. Costa Mesa also remains a strong contender as tech professionals continue to migrate toward its vibrant, central coastal lifestyle.
4. Are cash offers still dominant in the 2026 luxury market?
Absolutely. In elite zip codes like 92657 (Newport Coast) and 92661 (Balboa Peninsula), over 65% of transactions valued above $5 million are closed in cash. However, stabilized 2026 interest rates are making jumbo loans a viable strategic alternative for high-net-worth investors.
5. How long does it take to sell a high-end property in Newport Beach?
The average time on market for luxury estates in Newport Beach is approximately 126 to 156 days. Homes priced accurately at market value with professional cinematic marketing generally secure a pending sale within the first 60 days of the spring selling season.
6. What should international buyers know about investing in coastal Orange County?
International demand remains robust, particularly from Asian investors focusing on Irvine and Newport Coast. Buyers should prepare for strict verification of funds and consider the impact of Proposition 19 on property tax transfers if they plan to hold the asset as a legacy estate.
7. What is the current mortgage rate forecast for Southern California in 2026?
For 2026, economists project mortgage rates to fluctuate between 5.9% and 6.4%. This “Great Housing Reset” has improved affordability, allowing buyers in Costa Mesa and Irvine to qualify for higher-value properties compared to the 2024 peaks.
8. How do I get top dollar for my home in a balanced market?
Strategy is key. Sellers should focus on Maximum Exposure marketing, including geo-targeted social ads and professional home staging. In the 2026 market, correctly priced homes are still seeing multiple offers, especially those with unique architectural features or ocean views.
9. Why should I choose a Surterre Properties agent?
Surterre Properties agents offer insider knowledge of the Orange County coastal market. With access to an exclusive network of off-market listings and a proprietary marketing studio, our specialists provide the precision and discretion required for high-end real estate transactions.
10. What are the tax benefits of buying a luxury home in California today?
Homeowners in the luxury segment may benefit from mortgage interest deductions on debt up to $750,000, as well as potential tax-free capital gains of up to $500,000 for couples upon resale. Always consult with a tax professional regarding California-specific supplemental property taxes.
Explore the 2026 Orange County real estate forecast with insights from Bob Gino, Carol Neyer, Douglas Dunlap, Loralie Dunlap, and Victoria Strombom. As top Orange County real estate agents at Surterre Properties, they specialize in high-end properties, gated communities, and luxury estates. With 2026 mortgage rates projected to average near 6.3% and home sales expected to rise by 14%, these specialists provide expert guidance for navigating the “Wellness Sanctuary” trend and inventory growth in Newport Beach, Laguna Beach, and Newport Coast.

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